Quarterly Rankings
Benjamin Zeidler is our resident betting expert, with analysis dating back to 2007. His work as a rankings panelist for Fight! Magazine and HDNet's "Inside MMA" grants him access to some of the best fighters in the world. In this section, he turns his insider information into the most comprehensive betting advice in MMA.
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Click an event in the calendar below to review odds and analysis.
Click an event in the calendar below to review odds and analysis.
You're on BetUS, ready to make some cash. All of a sudden, you realize that the lines have changed since my picks came out. No worries; with the simple calculations found below, you can figure out if these numbers are better or worse than the ones I originally reported.
- For a favorite: amount needed to bet to win $1/that amount + $1
- For an underdog: $1/amount won when $1 is bet + $1
- +500 = 17% chance to win
- +400 = 20% chance to win
- +300 = 25% chance to win
- +200 = 33% chance to win
- +150 = 40% chance to win
- +100 = 50% chance to win
- -100 = 50% chance to win
- -150 = 60% chance to win
- -200 = 66% chance to win
- -300 = 75% chance to win
- -400 = 80% chance to win
- -500 = 83% chance to win
Take Brock Lesnar (-215) vs. Frank Mir (+205) from UFC 100 as an example.
For Lesnar, the favorite, you take his line of -215. That's the amount you'd have to bet to win 100. So a bet of $215 on Brock would have netted you a $100 profit.
For Mir, it's the opposite. Instead of figuring out the bet necessary to make $100, you simply start with the $100 as your base. A $100 bet on Mir (or any underdog) wins you his line. So, a bet of $100 would have resulted in a $185 profit...if Mir won. Which he didn't. But you get the point.
For Lesnar, the favorite, you take his line of -215. That's the amount you'd have to bet to win 100. So a bet of $215 on Brock would have netted you a $100 profit.
For Mir, it's the opposite. Instead of figuring out the bet necessary to make $100, you simply start with the $100 as your base. A $100 bet on Mir (or any underdog) wins you his line. So, a bet of $100 would have resulted in a $185 profit...if Mir won. Which he didn't. But you get the point.
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